A high level delegation from South Sudan has been in Kenya through the week to initiate negotiations with over rights of passage for the 2,000-kilometre crude oil pipeline the country has decided to build to connect its oil fields to the Kenyan coastal town of Lamu.
Initially, Juba said it would be building the pipeline on its own at an estimated cost of $3 billion, with Kenya’s role limited to granting right of passage.
But it appears that as the negotiations progressed last week, Juba realised that the scope of co-operation with Kenya on the project will have to be much broader to leverage the latter’s experience in executing large pipeline projects.
Ground breaking ceremony
The climax of these preparations will be a groundbreaking ceremony to be conducted by President Mwai Kibaki on March 2 that will mark the start of the construction of the Lamu port.
Ethiopian head of state Meles Zenawi and President of South Sudan Salva Kiir are among the dignitaries expected to attend the ceremony.
Last week, the joint implementation committee leading the negotiations, expanded the terms of engagement. The parties will be negotiating terms and the role that Kenya can play in project execution support and management of the pipeline when it is fully operational.
The joint committee is also negotiating issues such as immigration, transit fees, and provision of security for the pipeline, the negotiating party agreed to appoint a transaction adviser to advise on what are turning out to be complex negotiations.
The South Sudanese have said they want a pipeline up and running within 18 months.
Whether this is possible is debateable. But it is noteworthy that China Engineering Pipeline Corporation (CPPEC), the Chinese contractor working with the state-owned Kenya Pipeline Company, only recently completed building a 400-kilometre pipeline between Nairobi and Eldoret in a record 18 months.
Insiders have told Africa Review that due to the urgency with which Juba wants a pipeline, the plan is to have multiple contractors building different sections of the 2,000-kilometre pipeline.
For Kenya, the souring of relations between Juba and Khartoum offers not only an opportunity to boost its geostrategic significance as the hub of economic activity in the region, but also an opportunity to achieve its dream of acquiring a second transport and economic corridor.
Deepening economic relations with South Sudan and Ethiopia will counterweigh the heavy dependence that Kenya currently has on Uganda and Tanzania in the region.
Right now, Kenya only has one transport and economic corridor, the Northern Corridor, starting from the port of Mombasa to Malaba on the border with Uganda and onwards to Central Africa.
A second corridor is critical for Nairobi as Kenya wants to access Ethiopia and South Sudan through northern and eastern parts of the country from the new port of Lamu.
Kenya’s ultimate aim is to extend the transport corridor to Kigali all the way to Douala in Cameroon.
This will spawn a deeply inter-connected economic zone straddling the Nile Basin countries that will not only overshadow the ambitions of the East African Community, but whose future will be shaped by regional trade in oil, gas and electricity and the need to access the Indian Ocean.
Indeed, the battle over pipelines and access to the sea between Khartoum and Juba has broken out just when Kenya is in the middle of implementing its second corridor project.
A major project estimated to cost $15 billion, it has multiple parts including the Lamu port itself, and a railway line and fibre optic cable running from Lamu to South Sudan and Ethiopia through Isiolo.
The scope of the second corridor project includes airports at Isiolo, Lamu and Turkana, a highway, an oil refinery at Lamu and resort cities.
But until the South Sudanese came up the other day, the only project that was actually being implemented was the Lamu port.