Uganda vs Madagascar
By just edging rather than completely trouncing Uganda in Antananarivo, Madagascar committed two errors which I believe will turn out to be fatal. They did not score more and yet could have and should have, and they did not keep a clean sheet either, yet all they needed was to play out the final few minutes without dropping their guard. And so I say without any cockiness but with all the confidence that The Cranes will make them pay for this tomorrow.
Even if this game had been away from home The Cranes would not have put in as bad a performance this time as they did a fortnight ago, and it doesn’t matter that there will be several changes because the group will be fitter and better prepared.
Geoffrey Massa, Tony Mawejje and Dennis Onyango will only make each department stronger, and the rest can feed off their vast experience of situations like these, while Moses Oloya should give the team the drive and creativity they so glaringly lacked.
And it is at Namboole you know. The first goal is always important and Ugandans (both on the pitch and the terraces) are known to get jittery and irritable before it arrives. But it will come. And when it does, murder she wrote. Home win
Rwanda vs Libya
Rwanda’s Amavubi did a great job securing a draw on the road, even if Libya themselves were practically on foreign soil in Tunis since there were security concerns over their Tripoli home.
Scoreless draws are usually not a significant advantage for the away team in a two-legged tie, because once the other team travels and gets a goal then no draws will suffice. I get the feeling that Libya will score in Kigali, but I also feel that Rwanda have what it takes to end the North Africans’ quest for a second straight Afcon appearance. Home win
Comoros Islands vs Kenya
A Harambee Stars story of recent times can never be complete without some controversy or other surrounding Dennis Oliech, or so it seems for someone on the outside looking in. Kenya’s Algerian coach Adel Amrouche has dropped the neighbouring nation’s top striker for “a lack of patriotism” because he did not train with the team, but the player’s manager says his man asked for permission which wasn’t granted because of “politics”. Their 1-0 home win comes across as narrow, but that clean sheet brings a bigger advantage than the scoreline suggests. They will score without Oliech and surprise many. Away win
Congo vs Namibia
Benin vs Sao Tome
Home win & Over
Chad vs Malawi
Lesotho vs Liberia
Sierra Leone vs Swaziland
Equatorial Guinea vs Mauritania
Zimbabwe vs Tanzania