Thursday April 18 2013

The vision for Uganda in 30 years


By Isaac Imaka & Brian Klosterboer


President Museveni will this afternoon launch Vision 2040 at Kololo Independence Grounds, even as some MPs said the plan needed improvement.

The document plans to “transform Ugandan society from a peasant to a modern and prosperous country within 30 years”. It also aims to raise the country’s per capita income from $506 in 2010 to $9,500 in 2040.

The lawmakers, who nevertheless adopted the plan, yesterday said although they supported the vision in principle, it was unrealistic. They said the plan was too ambitious, yet the government showed no interest in achieving the goals set by the document. “We all have dreams and visions. But there are fundamental challenges that may derail this vision and that’s the issue of governance,” said the shadow minister for finance, Mr Geoffrey Ekanya.

Uganda has severally had strategic blue prints for development including Vision 2025. However, as the joint Parliamentary committee on Finance and budget report noted, the absence of a policy and institutional framework rendered its implementation unachievable.

Mr Muwanga Kivumbi (DP, Butambala) said for 30 years, Uganda had seen consistent economic gambling.
However, deputy Speaker Jacob Oulanyah said: “This document came to this House in April last year and consultations have been made and we are now debating the third and final draft. This is not a policy report that what we adopt cannot be changed.”

How the vision will be implemented

The plan

10yr plans

Three ten-year plans

Five-year plans
Six five-year national development plans (NDPs)

• Sector investment plans (SIPs)
• Local government development plans (LGDPs)
• Annual work plans
• Budgets

• Low competitiveness of goods and services
• Low industrialisation and value addition
• Weak public sector administration
• Corruption
• Lack of infrastructure
• Inadequate human resource
• Low level of saving
• Unfavourable demographics

Per capita income

A more prosperous Uganda with the per capita income going from $506 in 2010 to $9,500 in 2040

Percentage of the national labour force employed will rise from 70.9 per cent in 2010 to 94 per cent in 2040.

The percentage of the population below the poverty line will decrease from 24.5 per cent in 2010 to 5 per cent in 2040.

The percentage of population with access to safe piped water will go from 15 per cent in 2010 to 100 per cent in 2040.

Life expectancy
85 years
Life expectancy at birth will go from 51.5 years in 2010 to 85 years in 2040.

Infant mortality
63 to 4
Infant mortality per 1,000 live births will go from 63 in 2010 to 4 in 2040.

Power consumption
75 to 3668kWh
Electricity consumption will go from 75kWh per capita in 2010 to 3668kWh per capita in 2040.

•Ugandans living in peace and harmony
•Improved infrastructure with multi- lane paved roads, rail network, and airports
•World-class schools and hospitals
•Prosperity for all
•Good governance with no corruption
•Sustainable and equitable use of natural resources
•A more equitable Uganda with the income distribution (GINI coefficient) going from 0.43 in 2010 to 0.32 in 204
• ICT goods and services as a percentage of total exports will rise from 0 per cent in 2010 to 40 per cent in 2040.
• The percentage of standard paved roads to total road network will go from 4 per cent in 2010 to 80 per cent in 2040
• The percentage of cargo freight on rail to total freight will go from 3.5 per cent in 2010 to 80 per cent in 2040
• Literacy rate will go from 73 per cent in 2010 to 95 per cent in 2040